The History of Fomenko’s New Chronology

This article contains a concise overview of the development of Fomenko’s New Chronology. This article is directly based on the writing from Fomenko at the beginning of his ‘Royal Rome Rivers Oka and Volga’. This article also contains a concise account of the basic methods used in the development of the New Chronology. ~~~~~ ~~~~~… Continue Reading


Illusory Truth Effect

~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ The illusory truth effect can be seen when familiar statements are quicker to be accepted as true than unfamiliar statements (1). The wiki claims that it was “first identified in a 1977 study at Villanova University and Temple University” (2). The concept behind the existence of this effect… Continue Reading


Anchoring

Anchoring (1) is a cognitive bias which refers to when a person’s decision making is negatively impacted by relying too much on a base piece of information. That is to say, when a person ‘anchors’ on a specific base fact which obscures judgement and goes onto use this base fact as a rationale for additional… Continue Reading


Availability Cascade

What is an availability cascade? from http://energyskeptic.com/2013/cognitive-bias/ – an availability cascade is – “a self-reinforcing process in which a collective belief gains more and more plausibility through its increasing repetition in public discourse (or “repeat something long enough and it will become true”).” When was the idea developed? from the wiki – “The idea of the availability… Continue Reading


Magical Thinking

With Halloween right around the corner, this won’t be the last time you’ll hear of magic this month. You may have parties you’ll be attending, or houses you’ll be securing, but the thing that everyone has, the binding element that brings us together for this discussion, is expectation.  Expectations can be tricky. You may be… Continue Reading


Appeal to Authority

What is an Appeal to Authority?  One source claims; “Appeal to authority – (argumentum ad verecundiam) deductively fallacious; even legitimate authorities speaking on their areas of expertise may affirm a falsehood. However, if not using a deductive argument, a logical fallacy is only asserted when the source is not a legitimate expert on the topic… Continue Reading


Confirmation Bias

What is confirmation bias? Confirmation bias is “the tendency to search for or interpret information in a way that confirms one’s preconceptions”* In other words, confirmation bias is the distorting of facts to fit one’s already existing beliefs. *http://energyskeptic.com/2013/cognitive-bias/ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ What does confirmation bias look like? In the following… Continue Reading